At the current trajectory, India’s corona case count likely to reach 75,000 in five days

At the current trajectory, India’s corona case count likely to reach 75,000 in five days

Mumbai, Ahmedabad, Chennai, Thane, and Ariyalur districts have accounted for more than half of all new cases over the past two days. The number of reported trajectory coronavirus cases in India rose 14 percent over the past two days to 56,342, data from the morning update of the ministry of health and family welfare (MoHFW) showed. This is a slower rate of increase compared to the previous 48 hours, when the reported case count rose 16 percent to 49,391.

So far this week, the number of cases has gone up by 32 percent (between Monday morning and Friday morning). This is a faster rate of increase compared to the previous four days, when confirmed cases had risen by 28 percent.

Although India’s coronavirus trajectory has tapered since last month, it continues to be steeper compared to Asian peers such as Japan and Singapore. The rise of infections in India is now faster than in neighbours Bangladesh and Pakistan.

Compared to Western nations where the virus has claimed more lives, the trajectory of most Asian countries, including India, have been flatter. Yet, with new infections declining, the worst may be over for several European countries. In many Asian countries, new infections are still rising.

India’s case count is now roughly double what it was eleven days ago. This is much slower compared to early-April, when cases were doubling every four days. Deaths have also seen slower rise compared to the trend in early-April but have picked up pace over the past week. India’s death toll from covid-19 as of today morning was 1,886, roughly double what it was ten days ago.

Rohith Kukkadapu

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